Lab
Moss night. Chartreuse is the only signal.
Backtest on what actually happened.
Downloads resolved Polymarket Bitcoin windows with their price history and Coinbase candles, then replays the live rules minute by minute using only what was known at each moment. Settings are chosen on a validation slice; the test slice is scored once.
Run
Sign in to run it. The server needs internet access to Polymarket and Coinbase.
Or from a terminal: npm run backtest -- --days 7 --max 400
No real-data result yet
Run it once and the result stays here. Nothing below is simulated.
Coin-flip sanity check (synthetic, not real data)
A backtest that is allowed to lose.
This study is synthetic, time-ordered, and costed. It does not peek at the settlement. It is not a live track record and it is not a promise.
Not run yet
Uses your current fee, slippage, haircut, minimum edge, and stake. Results stay on this page and are labeled simulated.
Paper-first research desk. Live orders are off unless you configure, pass the trial gate, and arm them. No custody, no promised win rate. Deposits and withdrawals stay on Polymarket.